Model Factsheet

Overview / Aurora Energy Research Electricity Systems Model (AER-ES)
Name Aurora Energy Research Electricity Systems Model
Acronym AER-ES
Methodical Focus None
Institution(s) Aurora Energy Research; Oxford UK
Author(s) (institution, working field, active time period)
Current contact person Florian Habermacher
Contact (e-mail) florian@auroraer.com
Website www.auroraer.com
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Primary Purpose Integrated model of Electricity Wholesale, Balancing, and Capacity Markets, with extended modelling of heat markets and embedded generation.
Primary Outputs Electricity Wholesale and Balancing Prices Capacity Decisions Plant Wholesale and Balancing Dispatch Plant Finances System Costs Consumer Costs
Support / Community / Forum
Framework GAMS
Link to User Documentation https://www.auroraer.com/about/our-models/
Link to Developer/Code Documentation -
Documentation quality expandable
Source of funding Private
Number of developers less than 20
Number of users less than 100
Open Source
Planned to open up in the future
Costs -
Modelling software GAMS, Java
Internal data processing software
External optimizer
Additional software Large Scale Professional Solvers such as CPLEX or Mosek
GUI
Modeled energy sectors (final energy) electricity, heat
Modeled demand sectors Households, Industry, Commercial sector, Transport
Modeled technologies: components for power generation or conversion
Renewables PV, Wind, Hydro, Solar thermal
Conventional gas, oil, liquid fuels, nuclear
Modeled technologies: components for transfer, infrastructure or grid
Electricity distribution, transmission
Gas -
Heat -
Properties electrical grid AC load flow
Modeled technologies: components for storage battery, compressed air, pump hydro, chemical, heat
User behaviour and demand side management
Changes in efficiency The model can account for prospective efficiency changes across times and plant ages/refurbishment
Market models fundamental model
Geographical coverage
Geographic (spatial) resolution continents, national states, TSO regions, regions, districts, households, power stations
Time resolution hour, 15 min
Comment on geographic (spatial) resolution Different elements are modelled at different regional granularities
Observation period >1 year
Additional dimensions (sector) -
Model class (optimisation) LP, Quadratic constraints allowed in core solves
Model class (simulation) Agent-based, Game Theoretic Model
Other
Short description of mathematical model class A complex framework is built around a linear/quadratic core model; the iterative architecture adjusts the core model gradually such as to take into account strategic and agent-specific behavior of all involved market actors to obtain a solution in line with idiosyncratic properties and historic data.
Mathematical objective Complex adjusted cost accounting in iterative framework
Approach to uncertainty Stochastic elements accounted for to bring the deterministic core solves in line with imperfect foresight and an unknown future
Suited for many scenarios / monte-carlo
typical computation time less than a day
Typical computation hardware Servers
Technical data anchored in the model -
Interfaces GUI for launching the model Database output Excel Pivot Inspection tools
Model file format .gms and/or .exe
Input data file format .csv
Output data file format .csv
Integration with other models Global energy commodity model, Global/regional gas model
Integration of other models
Citation reference -
Citation DOI -
Reference Studies/Models https://www.auroraer.com/insight/auroras-commentary-potential-game-changers-roll-flexible-capacity-gb-power-market/
Example research questions How will the renewables and flexible generation revolution affect particular types of assets? How will particular policies affect the flexible generation revolution?
Model usage Aurora's Subscriber Groups
Model validation -
Example research questions How will the renewables and flexible generation revolution affect particular types of assets? How will particular policies affect the flexible generation revolution?
further properties
Model specific properties -

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Powerplant Europe Oceania Electricity Strommarkt